I suppose it is very much possible, but depends on what’s inside the EML files.
If there is a significant number of EML files that contain the same attachments (forwarded messages with for example some pictures attached), deduplication may occur, resulting in just one uploaded version for all EML files containing the same data.
The difference in size could also be contributed to (possibly even more so than deduplication) by compression. Since EML files will likely be mostly text, and text compresses really well, that may be a big part of it.
If you feel like testing (and have enough free disk space), you could try a test compression of your local source with the same parameters that are being used by Duplicati and see how big the resulting file is…
Good point - I wasn’t keeping the absolute numbers in mind.
It would indeed make more sense that TowerBR has simply been getting a bunch of emails from my mother each asking “did you get these pictures yet?” and containing the same 20-30 full sized raw images in each email.